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Friday, April 21, 2017

The Effects of Climate Change

The NY Times provides an impassioned list of likely effects of climate change.  While I skimmed the list quickly, it is notable that the list focuses on non-urban consequences.  Yet, all over the world we live in cities.  As I have been arguing for a decade, urbanites have an edge in adapting to climate change. Urbanites live and work inside in climate controlled settings (don't believe me, visit Singapore). Cities and human capital go hand in hand and human capital and financing give us an edge (over other creatures) to adapt to whatever challenge Mother Nature throws at us.  As we learn about the new risks, there will be adjustment period as we seek out and move to "higher ground".  This shift will not be costless and won't occur overnight.  Yes, there are migration costs. Yes, there is durable capital. Yes, there are climate deniers and skeptics but in general equilibrium spatial prices adjust and markets clear.