The reduction in homicides in major cities such as Los Angeles and New York City is a great accomplishment.  As crime declines, people spend more time outside and gain more from living in the city.  The city gains from having more "eyes on the street" as this builds up civic engagement, nightlife and encourages the private sector to invest more in high quality retail and entertainment to cater to these "night owls".  The net result is a more vibrant and fun city.

In Los Angeles in 1987, 812 people were murdered while in 2017 the annual murder count had fallen to 282 in a city whose population had grown.

In NYC, 2262 people were murdered in 1990 while only 295 were murdered in 2018.

At my 21st Century Cities Initiative at Johns Hopkins, we will study what lessons Baltimore can learn from other cities.  

Here is a graph of Baltimore's Monthly Murder Count over the last 9 years.

It requires an interdisciplinary team to understand these dynamics.  What role does policing play? What role does local economic opportunities play?  What role does early life education play? What role does culture play?  What role do teachers as mentors and role models play?  What role does early life pollution exposure (i.e lead, particulates) play?  What role does hyper-segregation of the poor play?  What role do high temperatures pay?    Why could major cities achieve such large crime reductions at a time when other cities are not experiencing equal gains?

Steve Levitt's paper on crime dynamics

NBER Research on crime

The President of the Abell Foundation on Crime







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