Friday, November 03, 2006

Overfishing, Tragedy of the Commons and Resource Depletion

Extrapolation is always fun stuff and makes for great headlines. But, rising demand for fish, the absence of Ocean private property rights and technological advance (i.e boats that can extract more fish per hour) all combine to potentially exhaust the fish supply. Will the Oceans "collapse"?

To make my "Green Cities" book project more doable, I intentionally focused on urban sustainability issues rather than global sustainability issues. This allowed me to devote little time to environmental sustainability in farm and rural areas and the oceans.

But, from a broader perspective, economic development (i.e more people and more per-capita income) can pose serious sustainability challenges for natural resources due to the Tragedy of the Commons problem. No fisherman has an incentive to economize on resource extraction today because of the "use it or lose it (to another fishing boat)". An Ocean monopolist would consider the benefits of delayed extraction.

Technological change has only exacerbated this problem. More efficient nets and better use of information technology only raises the productivity of hunting down fish. Will this all add up to "collapse"? I can't answer that but clearly we need an international credible mechanism for providing fishermen with incentives. On the radio this morning, one guy was saying that we need the equivalent of "National Parks" in the Ocean where boats would commit to not fish. The problem is that fish migrate from spot to spot but this at least would be a way to improve the chances of survival.




November 3, 2006
Overfishing May Harm Seafood Population
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Filed at 5:53 a.m. ET

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Clambakes, crabcakes, swordfish steaks and even humble fish sticks could be little more than a fond memory in a few decades. If current trends of overfishing and pollution continue, the populations of just about all seafood face collapse by 2048, a team of ecologists and economists warns in a report in Friday's issue of the journal Science.

''Whether we looked at tide pools or studies over the entire world's ocean, we saw the same picture emerging. In losing species we lose the productivity and stability of entire ecosystems,'' said the lead author Boris Worm of Dalhousie University in Halifax, Nova Scotia.

''I was shocked and disturbed by how consistent these trends are -- beyond anything we suspected,'' Worm said.

While the study focused on the oceans, concerns have been expressed by ecologists about threats to fish in the Great Lakes and other lakes, rivers and freshwaters, too.

Worm and an international team spent four years analyzing 32 controlled experiments, other studies from 48 marine protected areas and global catch data from the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization's database of all fish and invertebrates worldwide from 1950 to 2003.

The scientists also looked at a 1,000-year time series for 12 coastal regions, drawing on data from archives, fishery records, sediment cores and archaeological data.

''At this point 29 percent of fish and seafood species have collapsed -- that is, their catch has declined by 90 percent. It is a very clear trend, and it is accelerating,'' Worm said. ''If the long-term trend continues, all fish and seafood species are projected to collapse within my lifetime -- by 2048.''

''It looks grim and the projection of the trend into the future looks even grimmer,'' he said. ''But it's not too late to turn this around. It can be done, but it must be done soon. We need a shift from single species management to ecosystem management. It just requires a big chunk of political will to do it.''

The researchers called for new marine reserves, better management to prevent overfishing and tighter controls on pollution.

In the 48 areas worldwide that have been protected to improve marine biodiversity, they found, ''diversity of species recovered dramatically, and with it the ecosystem's productivity and stability.''

While seafood forms a crucial concern in their study, the researchers were analyzing overall biodiversity of the oceans. The more species in the oceans, the better each can handle exploitation.

''Even bugs and weeds make clear, measurable contributions to ecosystems,'' said co-author J. Emmett Duffy of the Virginia Institute of Marine Sciences.

The National Fisheries Institute, a trade association for the seafood industry, does not share the researchers alarm.

''Fish stocks naturally fluctuate in population,'' the institute said in a statement. ''By developing new technologies that capture target species more efficiently and result in less impact on other species or the environment, we are helping to ensure our industry does not adversely affect surrounding ecosystems or damage native species.

Seafood has become a growing part of Americans' diet in recent years. Consumption totaled 16.6 pounds per person in 2004, the most recent data available, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. That compares with 15.2 pounds in 2000.

Joshua Reichert, head of the private Pew Charitable Trusts' environment program, pointed out that worldwide fishing provides $80 billion in revenue and 200 million people depend on it for their livelihoods. For more than 1 billion people, many of whom are poor, fish is their main source of protein, he said.

The research was funded by the National Science Foundation's National Center for Ecological Synthesis and Analysis.

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Associated Press Writer John Heilprin contributed to this report.

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On the Net:

Science: http://www.sciencemag.org

4 comments :

Anonymous said...

Canadians had this released around the issue of using nets to destroy the ocean bottom and Canada's claim to Northern fish stocks, passages, and resources to make it seem that they are entitled to taking over everything up North.

sushil yadav said...

The link between Mind and Social / Environmental-Issues.

The fast-paced, consumerist lifestyle of Industrial Society is causing exponential rise in psychological problems besides destroying the environment. All issues are interlinked. Our Minds cannot be peaceful when attention-spans are down to nanoseconds, microseconds and milliseconds. Our Minds cannot be peaceful if we destroy Nature.

Industrial Society Destroys Mind and Environment.

Subject : In a fast society slow emotions become extinct.
Subject : A thinking mind cannot feel.
Subject : Scientific/ Industrial/ Financial thinking destroys the planet.
Subject : Environment can never be saved as long as cities exist.


Emotion is what we experience during gaps in our thinking.

If there are no gaps there is no emotion.

Today people are thinking all the time and are mistaking thought (words/ language) for emotion.


When society switches-over from physical work (agriculture) to mental work (scientific/ industrial/ financial/ fast visuals/ fast words ) the speed of thinking keeps on accelerating and the gaps between thinking go on decreasing.

There comes a time when there are almost no gaps.

People become incapable of experiencing/ tolerating gaps.

Emotion ends.

Man becomes machine.



A society that speeds up mentally experiences every mental slowing-down as Depression / Anxiety.

A ( travelling )society that speeds up physically experiences every physical slowing-down as Depression / Anxiety.

A society that entertains itself daily experiences every non-entertaining moment as Depression / Anxiety.



FAST VISUALS /WORDS MAKE SLOW EMOTIONS EXTINCT.

SCIENTIFIC /INDUSTRIAL /FINANCIAL THINKING DESTROYS EMOTIONAL CIRCUITS.

A FAST (LARGE) SOCIETY CANNOT FEEL PAIN / REMORSE / EMPATHY.

A FAST (LARGE) SOCIETY WILL ALWAYS BE CRUEL TO ANIMALS/ TREES/ AIR/ WATER/ LAND AND TO ITSELF.


To read the complete article please follow either of these links :

PlanetSave

EarthNewsWire


sushil_yadav

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Anonymous said...

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